Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG.OL)

Cours de clôture: 1 135.00 (+24.00), 5. nov 2024
Complete report

Algorithmic Overall Analysis

Positif (Score: 91)


5. nov 2024. Updated daily.

Analyst's Recommendation

Positif


15. oct 2024. 22 jours depuis.

Analyses


Court

Moyen

Long

Général

Insider

Moyen risk

Risque de liquidité: BasRisque de volatilité: Moyen

Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading

Stock data

Période  
Vol.bal. Volatilité Liquidité +/- %
1 jour-1.29%214.89+2.16%
5 jours-4.744.43%246.25-3.24%
22 jours52.3312.61%260.77+6.36%
66 jours-4.2829.46%212.75+12.76%
Price date5. nov 2024
CurrencyNOK
ISINNO0003043309
Rise from year low164.50%
Fall from year high-3.24%


Automatic technical analysis. Court terme

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Court terme

Court terme

Kongsberg Gruppen a débordé du canal haussier à la baisse. Cela indique dans un premier temps, un taux de croissance plus faible ou le début d'un développement plus horizontal. La valeur a donné un signal d'achat selon une formation rectangulaire sur le franchissement vers le haut de la résistance à 1128. Une poursuite de la hausse jusqu'à 1251 ou plus est signalée. L'action rencontre du support à environ 1093 kroner et de la résistance à environ 1170 kroner. La balance des volumes renforce l'opinion positive sur la valeur sur le court terme. L'action est généralement considéré comme positif technique pour court terme.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Positif (Score: 79)

Automatic technical analysis. Moyen terme

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Moyen terme

Moyen terme

Kongsberg Gruppen a débordé le plancher du canal haussier, ce qui dans un premier temps, indique un taux de croissance plus faible. La valeur a donné un signal d'achat selon une formation rectangulaire sur le franchissement vers le haut de la résistance à 1128. Une poursuite de la hausse jusqu'à 1251 ou plus est signalée. L'action a franchi la résistance à environ 1110 kroner. Une poursuite de la hausse est donc indiquée, et il y a maintenant un support à 1110 kroner en cas de corrections. La balance des volumes donne maintenant une indication positive, c'est-à-dire, une liquidité élevée sur les jours de hausse et une liquidité réduite sur les jours de baisse. Sur le court terme, cela renforce le sentiment positif envers la valeur. La courbe RSI montre une tendance baissière, ce qui pourrait être le signal précursuer d'une nouvelle tendance baissière. L'action est généralement considéré comme positif technique pour moyen long terme.

Recommendation one to six months: Positif (Score: 96)

Automatic technical analysis. Long terme

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Long terme

Long terme

Kongsberg Gruppen a franchi le canal haussier à la hausse, ce qui indique un taux de croissance encore plus fort. L'action a un support à environ 420 kroner. La balance des volumes renforce l'opinion positive sur la valeur sur le court terme. L'action est généralement considéré comme positif technique pour long terme.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Positif (Score: 94)

Max

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Max

Candlesticks 95 days

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) chart0

Candlesticks 22 days

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) chart0

Transactions Inside

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Insider trades reported last 18 months

Insider trades reported last 18 months. The stock is neutral on Insider Trades.

 Date Type Nombre Cours Valeur de marché Pourcentage Réserves Texte Importance 
 17. jul 2024 kjøp 1000 974.81 974 100 1000 Styremedlem Kristin Færøvik kjøper 1000 100 
 11. jul 2024 salg 408 955.00 389 66 205 Nærst til Lisa Edvardsen Haugan, president Kongsberg Maritime, selger 408 -100 
 27. mai 2024 salg 1500 900.00 1350 57 1131 Ansattevalgt vara Sindre Eirik Martinsen selger 1500 -100 

Commentaires

chart Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG) Moyen terme

Automatic technical analysis of the stock, based on last closing price. The chart may have changed since the analyst's recommendation was written.

Moyen risk

Risque de liquidité: BasRisque de volatilité: Moyen

Analyst's Recommendation

15. oct 2024 (22 jours depuis)
Kari Poblete
info@investtech.com

Recommendation one to six months: Positif

Kari Poblete, 15. oct 2024 (cours 1 117.00)

Kongsberg Gruppen har brutt den stigende trendkanalen på mellomlang sikt, noe som i første omgang indikerer svakere stigningstakt. Aksjen beveger seg i en rektangelformasjon mellom støtte på 1000 kroner og motstand på 1128 kroner. Etablert brudd på et av disse nivåene vil signalisere videre retning.
Aksjen har marginalt brutt opp gjennom motstanden ved cirka 1100 kroner. Etablert brudd vil indikere videre oppgang. Aksjen anses samlet sett teknisk positiv på mellomlang sikt.
Kongsberg Gruppen ventes å legge frem kvartalsrapport for Q3 den 24. oktober, og Investtechs resultatanalyse viser at aksjen i snitt har steget måneden etter de siste 20 kvartalsfremleggelsene.
Recommendation one to six months: Positif

Published: Rapport du jour (15. oct 2024 12:31) [KP]

 

The analysis is written by Investtech's analyst on the given date based on the price charts of this date. The analysis is meant to be valid for a few weeks, up to a few months. Later price developments may indicate changes in the market and investor optimism, and render the analysis outdated. Investtech's automatic analyses, updated daily, will often reflect such changes.


Période  
Vol.bal. Volatilité Liquidité +/- %
1 jour-1.29%214.89+2.16%
5 jours-4.744.43%246.25-3.24%
22 jours52.3312.61%260.77+6.36%
66 jours-4.2829.46%212.75+12.76%

Previous recommendations

Fredrik Dahl Bråten, 4. aoû 2024 (cours 1 039.00)

Flott stigende trend. Kongsberg Gruppen ligger i en fin og bratt stigende trendkanal på mellomlang sikt. Aksjen er opp 18 prosent siste måned, tross nedgangen de siste dagene. Positiv volumutvikling styrker det positive trendbildet. Det er ingen synlig motstand i kursdiagrammet og aksjen kan lett fortsette oppover.
Ved en reaksjon tilbake er det støtte ved 870 kroner som kan bremse et videre kursfall.
Månedlige kurssvingninger på 12-13 prosent gjør risikoen i aksjen moderat.

Recommendation one to six months: Positif
Published: Rapport du jour (4. aoû 2024 23:41), Cas du jour (4. aoû 2024 23:41) [FDB]

Fredrik Dahl Bråten, 2. jui 2024 (cours 901.50)

Kongsberg Gruppen er blant de største selskapene på Oslo Børs. Aksjen er opp 20 prosent siste måned og har hjulpet Hovedindeksen godt. Kursen har de siste seks månedene fulgt en fin stigende trend, men ligger nå rundt et kortsiktig motstandsnivå. Signifikant brudd opp gjennom nivået vil utløse et nytt kjøpssignal for aksjen. Statistisk har aksjer steget 4,1 annualiserte prosentpoeng raskere enn resten av markedet, etter brudd på motstand. Om aksjen heller reagerer tilbake, er det støtte ved 744 og 660 kroner som kan bremse et videre kursfall.

Recommendation one to six months: Positif
Published: Rapport du jour (2. jui 2024 21:19) [FDB]

Analysts' recommendations last 18 months

chart Analysts' recommendations last 18 months
 Positif/Conclusion légèrement positive
 A surveiller
 Négatif/Conclusion légèrement négative
History of Investtech's analysts' analyses of the stock. Analyses are shown by coloured dots on the day the analysis was based on.
ÉvaluationHorizon de tempsCoursPublishedAnalyst
PositifMoyen terme1 117.00       15. oct 2024 12:31, Rapport du jourKP
PositifMoyen terme1 039.00       4. aoû 2024 23:41, Rapport du jour, Cas du jourFDB
PositifMoyen terme901.50       2. jui 2024 21:19, Rapport du jourFDB
Conclusion légèrement positiveMoyen terme723.00       10. avr 2024 00:04, Rapport du jour, Cas du jour, e24FDB
PositifLong terme 718.00       22. mar 2024 09:54, e24GL
PositifMoyen terme676.50       1. mar 2024 10:07, e24GL
PositifMoyen terme629.00       13. fév 2024 20:58, Rapport du jour, e24, Cas du jourFDB
PositifMoyen terme533.50       26. jan 2024 10:07, e24GL
PositifMoyen terme526.00       17. jan 2024 20:26, Rapport du jour, Cas du jourFDB
PositifMoyen terme499.80       11. jan 2024 09:00, Nordic Top 10EG
PositifMoyen terme473.20       4. dec 2023 07:27, Rapport du jour, Cas du jourGL
PositifMoyen terme481.80       17. oct 2023 23:31, Rapport du jour, e24, Cas du jourFDB
PositifMoyen terme444.00       28. aoû 2023 08:10, Rapport du jour, Cas du jourFDB
NégatifMoyen terme444.60       28. jul 2023 08:18, Portefeuille modèleAT
PositifMoyen terme487.20       27. jui 2023 00:00, Dagens NæringslivAT
PositifMoyen terme482.00       19. jui 2023 08:40, Rapport du jour, Cas du jourAT
PositifMoyen terme475.00       10. mai 2023 10:35, e24AT
PositifMoyen terme479.60       28. avr 2023 07:59, Rapport du jour, Portefeuille modèle, Cas du jourGL

AT: Asbjørn Taugbøl (Analytiker)

EG: Espen Grønstad (Senior rådgiver)

FDB: Fredrik Dahl Bråten (Analytiker)

GL: Geir Linløkken (Forskningssjef)

KP: Kari Poblete (Analytiker)

Analyse des résultats

Average price development

chart Average price development on day before, of and after the last 5 results publications
Average price development on day before, of and after the last 5 results publications
chart Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 5 results publications
Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 5 results publications
chart Average price development on day before, of and after the last 20 results publications
Average price development on day before, of and after the last 20 results publications
chart Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 20 results publications
Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 20 results publications
The Candlestick charts show average development on the day before results publication, on day of publication and day after publication. The other charts show average development in the period from one month before to one month after results publication. The day of publication is shown in red. The shaded area is one standard deviation from the average.

Results publications in price chart

chart Results publications last 18 months

Results publications last 18 months
 Percentage change days before publication Percentage change days after publication
Publication dateDescription22 d10 d5 d1 dayPublication1 day5 d10 d22 d
Average last 5 results publications4.360.700.340.106.450.252.326.797.17
Average last 20 results publications5.481.770.620.502.730.711.514.273.45
The table shows percentage change from a given number of days before results publication to closing price the day before publication, change on the day of results publication and change from closing the day of publication to a given number of days after publication. Detailed charts below.

Seasonal variations

Seasonal prediction from today's date

chart Seasonal prediction from today's date
The blue line shows average price development the past 10 years, in the period from three months before to six months after today's date. The black line is actual price development in the past three months. Shaded areas are one and two standard deviations.

Monthly and annual statistics

chart Average development per month, last 10 years

Average development per month, last 10 years
chart Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Annual development from 2015 to 2024

chart 2015
2015
chart 2016
2016
chart 2017
2017
chart 2018
2018
chart 2019
2019
chart 2020
2020
chart 2021
2021
chart 2022
2022
chart 2023
2023
chart 2024
2024

Trading limits

chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 66 trading days

Average price development quarter by quarter past 66 trading days

Estimated price today

Opening1135.02
High1141.65
Low1127.83
Close1136.10
Opening to high 0.58%
Opening to low-0.63%
Opening to close 0.10%
Levels calculated from yesterday's closing price and the stock's fluctuations throughout the day in the past 66 days.


chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 5 trading days
Average past 5 trading days
chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 22 trading days
Average past 22 trading days
chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 250 trading days
Average past 250 trading days

Signal précurs.

Cours de clôture, qui en cas de franchissement, déclenche des nouveaux signaux  
IndicateurCoursObjectif
RSI élevé1 280.33-
Last close1 135.00-
Trading Range court terme1 109.00-
Trading Range long terme1 002.57-
RSI bas843.00-
Indicateur:Type d'indicateur ayant déclenché le signal
Cours:Si le cours de clôture franchit ce niveau, un nouveaux signal technique sera déclenché.
Objectif:Objectif du cours selon le signal donné (Seulement ceux donnés par des formations graphiques

Alertes

DateCoursOpportunité de transactionHorizon de tempsObjectif de cours
5. nov 20241 135.00Achat de REC dans une tendance haussièreMoyen terme1 240.00 - 1 280.00

Key ratios

 

Dividend yield: 1.2%

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Dividend yield

P/E: 41.6

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/E

P/S: 4.3

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/S

P/B: 11.2

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/B

Dividend per share: 14.00

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Dividend per share

Earnings per share: 27.26

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Earnings per share

Revenue per share: 266.59

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Revenue per share

Book value per share: 101.12

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Book value per share

Market cap million NOK: 199 671.


De siste nøkkeltallene er beregnet ut fra de fire siste kvartalsrapportene og sluttkurs 1 135.00 fra 5. nov 2024.


Financial data

MNOK201520162017201820192020202120222023Q3-24
Revenues17 03215 84514 49014 38124 08125 61227 44931 80340 61746 899
Profit for the year7556515597047171 8552 2902 8093 7154 796
Profit margin4.4 %4.1 %3.9 %4.9 %3.0 %7.2 %8.3 %8.8 %9.1 %10.2 %
Book value6 1276 7257 36512 62612 81013 30113 61813 74416 46517 790
Equity ratio32.0 %31.7 %35.4 %45.7 %32.7 %33.7 %34.6 %31.8 %30.9 %30.7 %
Revenue per share141.93132.04120.75119.84133.79142.30153.49179.36230.88266.59
Book value per share51.0656.0461.38105.2271.1773.9076.1577.5193.59101.12
Earnings per share4.293.703.184.004.0810.5413.0215.9721.1227.26
Dividend per share2.902.562.561.710.008.1915.5512.0914.0014.00
Dividend payout46 %47 %55 %29 %0 %79 %121 %76 %66 %51 %


Dividend yield

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - Dividend yield
Dividend yield is the company's share dividend in relation to the share price. It is a measure of return to shareholders. Dividend yield is calculated as Dividend per share/Share price.

Dividend yield for KOG is 1.2%.


P/E - price/earnings

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/E
P/E stands for Price/Earnings, that is, share price in relation to the earnings per share. The key figures are used when assessing a share price in relation to the company's profit. Example: A P/E number of 10 means that the share costs 10 times the company's annual profit. P/E is calculated as Share price/Earnings after tax per share.

P/E for KOG is 41.6.


P/S - price/sales

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/S
P/S stands for Price/Sales, that is price relative to sales. The key figures are used when evaluating a share price in relation to the company's sales. Example: A P/S number of 2.0 means that the stock costs 2.0 times the company's annual turnover. P/S is calculated as Share price/Revenue per share.

P/S for KOG is 4.3.


P/B - price/book

chart Kongsberg Gruppen - P/B
P/B stands for Price/BookValue, that is price relative to equity. The key figures are used when evaluating a share price in relation to book equity. Example: A P/B figure of 1.8 means that the share costs 1.8 times the company's equity. P/B is calculated as Share price/Equity per share

P/B for KOG is 11.2.

Help and information - Research shows the importance of Trend, Momentum and Volume

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Rising trend
Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum


Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume


Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.


Read more.

About Investtech

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Investtech’s computers analyze more than 28,000 stocks from 12 different countries every day. The analyses are presented in eight languages and sold to customers worldwide. In addition to the automatic analyses, the company’s analysts present subjective assessments and recommendations for some markets. The analyses are available to customers in the form of daily morning reports and cases, and weekly market updates and model portfolios.

Investtech’s algorithms for analysis, ranking and stock recommendations are based on research dating back to 1993. Part of the research was conducted in cooperation with Oslo University and the Norwegian Research Council. Research still has high priority for Investtech. Many of the company’s research results are available for customers on the company’s web site.

The company’s basic product starts at approx. 30 euro per month. Investtech also provides bespoke products for integration on partners’ web sites and for use in newsletters, for example to stock brokers and the media. Contact us by e-mail to info@investtech.com or by phone +47 21 555 888 for more information. A free trial subscription is available to order on our web site www.investtech.com.

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Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading







 


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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